Luminous-Curtailment
0x2302c5e0e5c9333976b2d29951d455686386e3a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$598.37
Total PnL
$21.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
4694 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$396.60
$-3.39
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
363 shares @ 15.1¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$56.29
$1.29
- NO
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
146 shares @ 23.9¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$31.49
$-3.51
- YES
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$23.50
$21.50
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
886 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.62
$7.62
- YES
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 58m?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$10.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
98 shares @ 10.2¢·now 10.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.29
$0.29
- NO
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?
60 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.90
$0.90
- YES
Will Natus Vincere make a roster change before July?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.57
$-1.43
- YES
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?
349 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.34
$-2.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$205.45Jun 22, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$51.37Jun 22, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$102.77Jun 22, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?$2.06Jun 22, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$5.15Jun 22, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: New Zealand 2 - 1 Egypt?$0.04Jun 22, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: New Zealand 2 - 1 Egypt?$5.13Jun 22, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$50.75Jun 22, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$0.00Jun 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.00Jun 22, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 58m?$10.43Jun 22, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$2.27Jun 22, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.04Jun 22, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.07Jun 22, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.00Jun 22, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$3.03Jun 22, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 25, 2026?$6.21Jun 22, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 22?$5.24Jun 22, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$2.86Jun 22, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.05Jun 22, 01:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $13.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 03:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.