Jumbo-Privilege
0x2303eda49d97d6a582d5c0cf70a7dea4f41e627a
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.21
Total PnL
$-1.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$2.08
$1.08
- YES
No one announced as next BlackRock CEO?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.02
$0.02
- YES
US adds between 100k and 150k jobs in September?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- SAINTS
Falcons vs. Saints
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- EAGLES
Buccaneers vs. Eagles
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELL$BTC dips below $40k before October?$0.26Sep 28, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELL$BTC dips below $40k before October?$5.74Sep 28, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Broncos$0.50Sep 28, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBuccaneers vs. Eagles$1.00Sep 28, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFalcons vs. Saints$1.00Sep 28, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY$BTC dips below $40k before October?$6.00Sep 28, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo one announced as next BlackRock CEO?$1.00Sep 28, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPavel Durov leaves France in 2024?$1.00Sep 28, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?$1.00Sep 28, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS adds between 100k and 150k jobs in September?$1.00Sep 28, 02:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 02:30 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 28, 02:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.