Polished-Almanac
0x2306f26f7dbf27ead6212a4e8f383463eeab4546
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$14.27
Total PnL
$-3.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
9 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.63
$1.21
- YES
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$4.09
$0.25
- YES
Trudeau out in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.55
$0.01
- YES
Will the Browns draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?
6 shares @ 89.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on January 31?$1.27Feb 11, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? $1.53Feb 11, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saquon Barkley win NFL Offensive Player of the Year?$1.56Feb 11, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWas the Cybertruck bombing a lone wolf attack?$2.78Feb 11, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEM Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?$3.02Feb 11, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?$3.56Feb 11, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?$4.21Feb 11, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 19?$0.00Jan 21, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump tweet on inauguration day? $2.38Jan 21, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?$2.66Jan 16, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$1.48Jan 16, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? $1.49Jan 16, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on January 31?$1.16Jan 16, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet on inauguration day? $2.02Jan 16, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saquon Barkley win NFL Offensive Player of the Year?$1.53Jan 16, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau out in 2025?$1.54Jan 16, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 19?$2.37Jan 16, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?$3.54Jan 16, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin remain President of Russia through June?$3.84Jan 16, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas the Cybertruck bombing a lone wolf attack?$2.72Jan 16, 11:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $2.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.