Dim-Governance
0x2308f56c77a02775f22adfd3dd0440136e4768e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-362.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?
132500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-141.11
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K August 4–10?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in July?
1038 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?
605 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.37
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K August 4–10?
536 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?
415 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-26.97
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $117K on August 11?
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on August 11?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 11?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $113K and $115K on August 11?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in US?$25.37Aug 13, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$25.36Aug 13, 01:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?$2.25Aug 11, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in July?$2.50Aug 11, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?$4.76Aug 11, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?$36.46Aug 11, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?$25.00Aug 11, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?$6.00Aug 11, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?$8.00Aug 11, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?$5.00Aug 11, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?$10.00Aug 11, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?$13.00Aug 11, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?$10.00Aug 11, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?$8.00Aug 11, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?$10.00Aug 11, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?$1.00Aug 11, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?$9.08Aug 11, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the DC Crime Press Conference?$10.00Aug 11, 02:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $16.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 02:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 01:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.