Easy-Going-Decryption
0x230c52b4b534ab69673a07ca76a4e94b508c968e
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.25
Total PnL
$-37.44
Realised
$0.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?
158 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
27 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
19 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by December 31?$1.00Aug 3, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.71Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$8.47Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.10Jul 16, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$2.44Jul 14, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$3.45Jul 14, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jul 14, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 12, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1.03Jul 12, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$1.04Jul 12, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$1.03Jul 12, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score$1.89Jul 10, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$1.61Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$1.02Jul 8, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$1.02Jul 8, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$1.02Jul 8, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score$1.01Jul 8, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$1.02Jul 8, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$1.39Jul 7, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$2.70Jul 7, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 17:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.