Courageous-Manager
0x231964f02e653fa6abcba4ffa157a0efaaa529e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$17.06
Total PnL
$-110.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
7 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$7.04
$0.07
- NO
Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
139 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-111.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$6.97Nov 29, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$6.97Nov 29, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$6.92Jul 1, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$5.00Jul 1, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$5.00Jul 1, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.12Jul 1, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.00Feb 19, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.00Feb 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$3.00Feb 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.00Feb 19, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.00Feb 19, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$3.00Feb 19, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.00Feb 19, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$111.00Aug 17, 13:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $13.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".