Scarce-Platypus
0x23198d61372345926e8e508458c5d2989416e7d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.88
Total PnL
$-9.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$5.88
$4.88
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
227 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump out as President in 2025?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46–47 °F on December 5?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46–47 °F on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 5, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?$10.00Dec 5, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.