0x231d04a9ac8a642cf78aa68f1410e5f554706e56
0x231d04a9ac8a642cf78aa68f1410e5f554706e56
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$7.37
Total PnL
$-286.56
Realised
$5.51
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.99
$-7.96
- YES
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
11 shares @ 6.2¢·now 16.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.83
$1.15
- YES
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
120 shares @ 12.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.26
$-14.22
- YES
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2268 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.13
$-12.47
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
37 shares @ 13.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$-4.06
- YES
Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
155 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.08
$-3.02
- YES
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
14 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.02
$-0.18
- YES
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
25592 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-51.18
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
5800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.60
- YES
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
2054 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 31, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $13.39Mar 30, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$3.35Mar 30, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$25.00Mar 30, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.50Mar 30, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Mar 30, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.96Mar 30, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$9.01Mar 30, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$3.71Mar 30, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$1.30Mar 30, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$3.10Mar 30, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$19.37Mar 30, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$1.18Mar 30, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$10.67Mar 30, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$10.00Mar 30, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$10.00Mar 30, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$10.00Mar 30, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$10.00Mar 30, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$10.00Mar 30, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$0.04Mar 30, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 12:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.