Identical-Fitness
0x231d692b413450e340c806af615cb506a6394bdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$77.31
Win rate
36%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 DR Congo?
4771 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-37.47
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
2754 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-37.99
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?
1878 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-28.02
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?
1389 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Colombia?
1347 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-67.36
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?
1272 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-89.04
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
1252 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-22.54
- YES
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?
1125 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?
1111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?$23.65Jul 19, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?$29.40Jul 10, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?$5.15Jul 9, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?$5.15Jul 9, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?$8.24Jul 9, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?$20.59Jul 9, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Colombia?$69.28Jul 7, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 3+ goals$9.75Jul 6, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals$10.28Jul 6, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 3+ goals$10.29Jul 6, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?$20.59Jul 6, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?$9.26Jul 6, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?$9.25Jul 5, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?$66.79Jul 5, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?$10.30Jul 5, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?$14.99Jul 5, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?$217.40Jul 5, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Norway?$13.81Jul 5, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Norway?$1.46Jul 5, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?$1.41Jul 5, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
36 closed markets, 36% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.