Nippy-Hubris
0x23212546710fe42be3c2b55491d441b54b583069
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-303.36
Realised
$1.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
202 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
170 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-66.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
145 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 11?
120 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 12?
105 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 14?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 12?
100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 12?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 13?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 13?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$0.18May 15, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$7.20May 15, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$0.55May 15, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$6.20May 15, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$6.79May 15, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$9.42May 14, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$6.20May 10, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$3.31May 10, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$9.90May 10, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$9.65May 9, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$1.53May 2, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$1.88May 2, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.90May 1, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.30May 1, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$4.81May 1, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$2.27Apr 30, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$0.43Apr 30, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$2.80Apr 30, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on April 25?$10.60Apr 25, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on April 25?$0.45Apr 25, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 03:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".