Reasonable-Gauge
0x2325efefeb2018791ae0fa05369bb672f3757e10
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-697.55
Realised
$-1.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
803 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-94.32
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with South Korean president on August 25?
400 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- NO
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
360 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
260 shares @ 64.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-167.80
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?
186 shares @ 64.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-120.40
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?
110 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-78.10
- YES
Will Trump say "LNG" or "Natural Gas" during events with South Korean president on August 25?
100 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-57.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Samsung" or "Hyundai" during events with South Korean president on August 25?
70 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-47.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$94.32Sep 5, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBayrou out as French PM by September 30?$91.30Sep 5, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayrou out as French PM by September 30?$88.35Aug 28, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$44.44Aug 28, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Samsung" or "Hyundai" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$47.60Aug 25, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "LNG" or "Natural Gas" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$57.00Aug 25, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$7.00Aug 24, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$24.00Aug 24, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$100.80Aug 24, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?$7.10Aug 21, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?$71.00Aug 21, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?$32.00Aug 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?$39.00Aug 20, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?$49.40Aug 20, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$67.00Aug 20, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$100.00Aug 19, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$97.21Aug 19, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$18.67Aug 17, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$20.00Aug 17, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$50.00Aug 17, 13:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $57.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 5, 14:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".