Distinct-Parsnip
0x2326062b1296ce429782e3d367306943a57884f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-40.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 8?
3100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?
2420 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9?
2102 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on January 21?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?
1720 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 3?
1200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 16?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
1100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 27?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$7.68Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$125.13Jun 12, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$125.01Jun 10, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$7.25Jun 10, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?$133.13Jun 7, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?$133.01Jun 7, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?$132.26Jun 4, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?$132.00Jun 2, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$5.18Jun 2, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$137.14Jun 1, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$137.00May 30, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$137.14May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$137.01May 27, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$137.14May 24, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$137.01May 23, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$137.14May 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$137.01May 16, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$5.52May 16, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$142.14May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$142.00May 13, 11:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $87.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 01:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.