Wallet digest

active

Activity score

40/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-76.9K

Realised

$864.86

Win rate

25%

4 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 73

NO
Will $BTC reach 70k in July?
47883 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024
$0.00
$-15.7K
NO
Will Trump say "trans" during New York rally on October 27?
22480 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024
$0.00
$-2.2K
NO
Will Kamala say "abortion" at debate?
19938 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024
$0.00
$-3.1K
NO
Will Trump say "Trans" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?
17000 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024
$0.00
$-4.2K
NO
Will Donald Trump say "Secret Service" during his Michigan town hall?
15445 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2024
$0.00
$-2.8K
YES
Will Kamala say "wall" at debate?
12937 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024
$0.00
$-3.3K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
10337 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026
$0.00
$-465.62
NO
Will Donald Trump say "Fake News" 3 or more times during his Uniondale rally?
9582 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024
$0.00
$-2.3K
NO
Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" during Michigan town hall?
9449 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2024
$0.00
$-776.54
NO
Will Trump say "million" 10 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?
7725 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024
$0.00
$-2.8K

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$24.89Apr 4, 04:41 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.98Apr 4, 04:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.30Apr 4, 04:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.17Apr 4, 04:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.80Apr 4, 04:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.30Apr 4, 04:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.30Apr 4, 04:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.61Apr 4, 04:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.60Apr 4, 04:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.92Apr 4, 04:39 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$172.33Apr 2, 21:42 UTC
TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$141.98Apr 2, 04:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$100.00Apr 2, 04:09 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$100.00Apr 2, 04:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$100.00Apr 2, 04:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$100.00Apr 2, 04:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$100.00Apr 2, 04:06 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$373.76Apr 2, 03:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$100.00Apr 2, 03:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$100.00Apr 2, 03:51 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence13 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry32 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk57 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 46
Avg trade size: $147.66
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 30, 08:55 UTC
Last active: Apr 4, 04:41 UTC
Win rate sample: 4 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 13:22:00 UTC·src:Polymarket Data