0x23366ed755bb2173075a115a2ca6e30ed03df1cc
0x23366ed755bb2173075a115a2ca6e30ed03df1cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$79.48
Total PnL
$-138.93
Realised
$-2.94
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours?
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$77.08
$-22.92
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 22, 2026?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
15800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.78
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours?
327 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
120 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-40.70
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026?
53 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
O/U 0.5 Rounds
22 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours?$102.60Aug 21, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours?$2.10Aug 20, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin not meet?$3.31Aug 20, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours?$3.14Aug 20, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLO/U 2.5 Rounds$1.86Aug 16, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 16, 2026?$3.10Aug 16, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 22, 2026?$3.11Aug 16, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 2.5 Rounds$3.10Aug 16, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 0.5 Rounds$2.09Aug 16, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$133.33Aug 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$2.10Aug 12, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026?$3.10Aug 11, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026?$5.17Aug 11, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$3.00Aug 11, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$10.91Jul 9, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$8.24Jul 4, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$8.24Jul 4, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$1.34Jul 4, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$2.06Jul 4, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$2.06Jul 4, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $8.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.