Valid-Deputy
0x23498989115b4c0ffcec95f57aeea6aa28211646
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-756.61
Realised
$-46.67
Win rate
6%
185 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on August 4?
893 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C or higher on August 3?
762 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 23?
745 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 26?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on August 3?
450 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?
435 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on May 31?
433 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 16?
428 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.43
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 13?$6.62Aug 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 13?$1.00Aug 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 13?$9.19Aug 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 13?$0.90Aug 13, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 13?$1.00Aug 13, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 13?$1.00Aug 13, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 13?$0.24Aug 13, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 13?$0.90Aug 13, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 13?$1.58Aug 13, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?$0.40Aug 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 13?$0.02Aug 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?$0.30Aug 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 13?$0.27Aug 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 13?$0.00Aug 13, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 13?$0.20Aug 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 13?$0.05Aug 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 13?$0.20Aug 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 13?$0.03Aug 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 13?$0.40Aug 13, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?$0.40Aug 13, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 185 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
185 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 04:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 185 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.