0x234c96d402d7cfb7914724017b6f458e517a90db
0x234c96d402d7cfb7914724017b6f458e517a90db
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$540.23
Total PnL
$-279.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$29.40
$19.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 27?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$28.56
$18.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 27?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$27.76
$17.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 28?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$26.06
$6.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 28?
73 shares @ 27.3¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$24.59
$4.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 27?
24 shares @ 41.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$24.27
$14.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$22.13
$2.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 28?
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$21.70
$1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 28?
48 shares @ 42.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$21.67
$1.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$21.25
$1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$20.64Jul 27, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 28?$20.75Jul 27, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 28?$20.44Jul 27, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?$20.39Jul 27, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 28?$20.67Jul 27, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 28?$20.64Jul 27, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 28?$20.73Jul 27, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 28?$20.60Jul 27, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 28?$20.43Jul 27, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28?$20.57Jul 27, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 28?$20.53Jul 27, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 28?$20.31Jul 27, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 28?$20.58Jul 27, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 28?$20.63Jul 27, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 28?$20.57Jul 27, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 26?$15.15Jul 27, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 26?$16.83Jul 27, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 26?$0.00Jul 27, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on July 26?$0.00Jul 27, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 26?$22.42Jul 27, 05:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $16.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 16:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.