Misty-Topsail
0x234e004ffbd27fd2e81b22c7ffa4d1cadcbb65d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$9.3K
Total PnL
$148.21
Realised
$27.7K
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2926 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.9K
$-1.46
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
3000 shares @ 94.5¢·now 93.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.8K
$-23.50
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
2000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.7K
$-20.00
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
901 shares @ 79.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$676.03
$-36.06
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
25376 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$570.96
$63.82
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
19589 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$225.27
$-3.7K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
67174 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$167.93
$-13.3K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
34509 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$155.29
$-6.7K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
20000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$150.00
$-3.8K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$15.00May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.12May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.21May 18, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.86May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.90May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.9KMay 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.72May 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.12May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.04May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.84May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00May 18, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.12May 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.00May 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.02May 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.25May 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.12May 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.02May 18, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.28May 18, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.31May 18, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00May 18, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $65.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".