Stale-Efficiency
0x23635ce37b81faf920edb901a6504525b9c50313
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$252.47
Total PnL
$-77.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$105.42
$5.42
- NO
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
71 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$71.43
$21.43
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$56.50
$6.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
294 shares @ 25.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.12
$-55.88
- YES
D4vd arrested by December 31?
125 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
71 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.