Failing-Pioneer
0x236b602947da1ee1becebf4317df7bf61d429b00
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-86.48
Win rate
0%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 1?
258 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 2?
195 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3?
110 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 2?
86 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-30.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 1?
84 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 29?
68 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 24?
64 shares @ 77.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-49.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 3?
55 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?
54 shares @ 55.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 30?
54 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 19?$34.91Jul 19, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on July 18?$32.92Jul 18, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 18?$33.44Jul 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on July 18?$28.22Jul 18, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 19?$29.50Jul 17, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 17?$35.51Jul 17, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?$32.31Jul 16, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 18?$29.05Jul 16, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?$34.84Jul 16, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 16?$35.57Jul 16, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?$28.56Jul 16, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 17?$28.88Jul 15, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 17?$7.11Jul 15, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 17?$4.93Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 17?$16.60Jul 15, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?$6.72Jul 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 15?$7.98Jul 15, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 16?$28.43Jul 14, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?$28.37Jul 14, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C or higher on July 13?$19.68Jul 13, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $18.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 11:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.