Thirsty-Minor
0x236ccd26903bc648b3a08bf57c42e95ac63a716b
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$135.00
Total PnL
$27.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?
122 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$121.84
$17.06
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$13.16
$12.16
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.54Feb 28, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.53Feb 28, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?$104.78Feb 28, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.00Jan 11, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.17Dec 2, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.00Nov 14, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $126k in October?$3.45Nov 14, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on October 6?$3.95Nov 14, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?$11.53Nov 14, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?$11.00Oct 6, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on October 6?$3.00Oct 6, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $126k in October?$3.00Oct 6, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $111K on July 11?$401.20Jul 11, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 4–11?$500.50Jul 11, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on July 11?$601.20Jul 11, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $108,000 on July 11?$601.20Jul 11, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $111K on July 11?$1.5KJul 11, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $111K on July 11?$400.00Jul 11, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 11?$600.00Jul 11, 09:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $234.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 08:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.