Secondary-Emerald
0x236e5f4b2ab7422cb878cfad64f8e7091e9a4904
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.53
Total PnL
$-1.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?$1.36Dec 2, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $140 in November?$1.67Dec 2, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $140 in November?$1.00Nov 5, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?$1.00Nov 5, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 5, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition$1.00Nov 5, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$1.00Nov 5, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.00Nov 5, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 23, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 10:35 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 05:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".