Bony-Criticism
0x2372d9621b1283bfa34888f39690d8e152741b02
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.50
Total PnL
$-52.56
Realised
$-2.06
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 on August 14?
110 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 14?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 14?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 on August 14?
81 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 14?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Meta (META) close above $580 on August 14?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17?$1.07Aug 16, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on August 14?$1.30Aug 14, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$25.97Aug 14, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 14?$5.33Aug 14, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 14?$5.33Aug 14, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $580 on August 14?$10.34Aug 14, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on August 14?$10.34Aug 14, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 14?$10.35Aug 14, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$10.25Aug 14, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 on August 14?$10.35Aug 14, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 on August 14?$10.36Aug 14, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on August 12?$0.00Aug 12, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on August 12?$0.00Aug 12, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on August 12?$0.00Aug 12, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 12?$3.22Aug 12, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?$9.43Aug 12, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on August 12?$62.43Aug 12, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?$10.21Aug 12, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 12?$10.35Aug 12, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on August 12?$10.64Aug 12, 13:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $10.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 21:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.