Cheery-Prophet-Trade
0x237d0c114052bf8a2f04633217e540b644ec916b
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$-71.38
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
78 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
77 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-37.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
77 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-37.73
- UP
BNB Up or Down - July 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
77 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-40.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
75 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-34.20
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
75 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-33.75
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
75 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-36.71
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
72 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-36.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
72 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-35.70
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
72 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-35.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.00Jul 18, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$70.07Jul 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$8.20Jul 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$8.10Jul 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$3.62Jul 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.84Jul 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.90Jul 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$3.64Jul 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$3.10Jul 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.95Jul 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.80Jul 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.84Jul 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$6.27Jul 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$6.40Jul 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$5.67Jul 18, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$0.00Jul 18, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$10.00Jul 18, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$149.96Jul 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$4.44Jul 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.17Jul 18, 01:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $10.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 17:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 02:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.