Fixed-Manufacturing
0x238681516a6f789ac831b7b56bb9e1a5d7e2b013
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$28.10
Total PnL
$-4.01
Realised
$-5.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$2.10
$1.07
- NO
Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.48
$0.00
- NO
Will Nebraska win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$1.42
$0.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$1.38
$0.00
- NO
Manchester United wins the Premier League?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.37
$0.00
- NO
Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$1.37
$0.00
- NO
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.35
$0.00
- NO
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$1.27
$0.00
- NO
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.23
$0.00
- NO
Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$1.23
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJeremy Hunt next Conservative party leader?$1.02Oct 30, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYDavid Cameron next Conservative party leader?$1.22Oct 30, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Cleverly next Conservative party leader?$1.19Oct 30, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$1.38Oct 30, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?$1.21Oct 29, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester United wins the Premier League?$1.37Oct 29, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz win the 2024 F1 season?$1.13Oct 28, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.35Oct 28, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.18Oct 28, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.23Oct 28, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USC win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.10Oct 26, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Louisville win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.18Oct 26, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebraska win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.42Oct 26, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?$1.13Oct 25, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$1.03Oct 25, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?$5.1KOct 25, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?$1.27Oct 25, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?$1.37Oct 25, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League?$1.20Oct 25, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?$1.11Oct 25, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $446.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 04:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".