0x238e652e2a6e09eb8a343770e533575688c3a9bc
0x238e652e2a6e09eb8a343770e533575688c3a9bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-546.50
Realised
$18.66
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
262 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
246 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
236 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
232 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
232 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
232 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.84Jun 7, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.13Jun 7, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.00Jun 7, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Jun 7, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$0.00Jun 7, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.00Jun 7, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Jun 7, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Jun 7, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$4.18Jun 4, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$5.49Jun 4, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$5.97Jun 4, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$5.70Jun 4, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$5.26Jun 4, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.00Jun 3, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.00Jun 3, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$3.05Jun 3, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$2.00Jun 3, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$5.26Jun 3, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$6.63Jun 3, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.25Jun 3, 23:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 20:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.