Fickle-Kayak
0x238fc286fb8cb377705bee7225ce59f6085a620f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.38
Total PnL
$-100.05
Realised
$18.16
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
12 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.38
$0.02
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?
4 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
791 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on January 11?
273 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 12?
248 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 5, 9PM ET
206 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-18.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 11?
179 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on January 12?
141 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.43
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 9PM ET
130 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-34.30
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
76 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.69Jan 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?$0.04Jan 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?$0.06Jan 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$0.45Jan 13, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2025 be the second hottest year on record?$0.04Jan 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 be released on January 15, 2026?$0.01Jan 13, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 be released on January 15, 2026?$0.01Jan 13, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$0.13Jan 13, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 14?$0.01Jan 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.03Jan 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.00Jan 13, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.04Jan 13, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.04Jan 13, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.04Jan 13, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.04Jan 13, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill December 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$0.20Jan 13, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 14?$0.01Jan 13, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$0.60Jan 13, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 13?$0.55Jan 13, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 13?$0.66Jan 13, 11:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 08:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".