Watchful-Membrane
0x239969f3038a474d1d56ef83f33bb188d179893a
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$106.91
Total PnL
$17.14
Realised
$-0.21
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 88.8¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$9.09
$7.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$8.93
$3.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$7.70
$2.69
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$6.52
$2.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$6.33
$1.33
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
6 shares @ 50.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$5.92
$2.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
6 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$5.80
$1.80
- NO
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
6 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$5.80
$1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.20Jun 13, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$5.19Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.13Jun 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$5.12Jun 13, 01:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jun 12, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$3.09Jun 12, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$3.08Jun 12, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 8?$5.21Jun 12, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 South Africa?$5.00Jun 12, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime?$0.00Jun 12, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.56Jun 12, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon$0.00Jun 12, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$0.00Jun 12, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$10.89Jun 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$4.08Jun 12, 01:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$3.57Jun 11, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime?$3.08Jun 11, 03:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 02:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.