0x239a9d1b0b77db5fe9c0fd146f401307fc4f37dc
0x239a9d1b0b77db5fe9c0fd146f401307fc4f37dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-51.75
Win rate
0%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
690 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.00
$-189.35
- YES
Spain leading at halftime?
299 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-95.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
226 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.00
$-95.43
- YES
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?
220 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-48.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
188 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-96.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
183 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.00
$-96.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
158 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-96.53
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
126 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-48.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
125 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.00
$-18.72
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
119 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-48.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$315.52Aug 22, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$200.63Aug 22, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$187.12Aug 22, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$200.50Aug 22, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$200.86Aug 22, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$100.22Aug 22, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$153.93Aug 22, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$100.21Aug 22, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$101.80Aug 22, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$100.29Aug 22, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$100.24Aug 22, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$20.02Aug 22, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$24.29Aug 22, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$20.04Aug 22, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$20.02Aug 22, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$123.10Aug 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$101.28Aug 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$19.47Aug 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$20.07Aug 22, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$38.29Aug 22, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
31 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $62.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 22:07 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 21:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.