Sane-Grammar
0x239dd679644aaec01fa9330d8f2391c3f153f8a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$307.23
Total PnL
$-328.75
Realised
$-5.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 21?
307 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$307.23
$3.23
- NO
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- DOWN
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on February 26?
450 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12PM ET
277 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
150 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-37.99
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Pakistan strikes Kabul by February 28?
71 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
50 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
30 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.14
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get 12–14 million views on day 1?
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 21?$304.17Jul 21, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 20?$94.78Jul 20, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 20?$94.51Jul 20, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$94.09Jul 19, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$94.00Jul 19, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 18?$94.19Jul 19, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 18?$94.01Jul 18, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5$10.00Jul 18, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: France O/U 0.5 AND France vs. England: Team to Win$19.99Jul 18, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 17?$124.61Jul 17, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 17?$124.03Jul 17, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?$292.35Jul 12, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?$290.12Jul 12, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?$304.17Jul 12, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?$302.20Jul 12, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 11?$291.29Jul 11, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMNottingham 3: Clement Chidekh vs Alastair Gray AND Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj$11.30Jul 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 11?$291.01Jul 11, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNottingham 3: Clement Chidekh vs Alastair Gray AND Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj$9.99Jul 11, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$25.87Jul 10, 21:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $105.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 10:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.