Powerless-Buffet
0x239ff633c2a2fd8060e1e0ba1ba9d2793c47ffa6
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-546.88
Realised
$87.75
Win rate
89%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
1362 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?
588 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
575 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6PM ET
372 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.05Jul 3, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5PM ET$1.06Jul 3, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.05Jul 3, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$7.49Jul 3, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.05Jul 3, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.05Jul 3, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.06Jul 3, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.04Jul 3, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.05Jul 3, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$9.43Jul 3, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$5.35Jul 3, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.06Jul 3, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.06Jul 3, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.07Jul 3, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$3.40Jul 3, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$5.28Jul 3, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.07Jul 3, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$3.90Jul 3, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.90Jul 3, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.79Jul 3, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 15:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 22:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.