0x23a1d425f3bf642c943dd91847c58b5ac518715e
0x23a1d425f3bf642c943dd91847c58b5ac518715e
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-179.80
Realised
$-73.16
Win rate
0%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -11°C or below on March 17?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C or below on March 18?
188 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 43°F or below on March 16?
123 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 18?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 31°F or below on March 18?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on March 17?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 18?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 19?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 49°F or below on March 18?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 18?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00Apr 2, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00Apr 2, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$3.30Apr 2, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$4.88Apr 2, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$3.15Apr 2, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Apr 2, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$3.40Apr 2, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$4.88Apr 2, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$3.40Apr 2, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$4.88Apr 2, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$3.40Apr 2, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$3.35Apr 2, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.00Apr 2, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Apr 2, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$3.35Apr 2, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$3.15Apr 2, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$4.88Apr 2, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$4.88Apr 2, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$3.30Apr 2, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$4.87Apr 2, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 81 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
81 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.