0x23b22aa26cdf136f8a8d8181f9b13f35b90a605c
0x23b22aa26cdf136f8a8d8181f9b13f35b90a605c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-53.78
Win rate
0%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 17?
625 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?
260 shares @ 61.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or higher on May 18?
250 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-69.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?
237 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?
226 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?
220 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?
210 shares @ 66.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?
182 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-114.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 27?
167 shares @ 62.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?
156 shares @ 67.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 27?$59.83May 28, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?$0.00May 28, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 27?$94.00May 28, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?$98.40May 28, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 26?$231.74May 27, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 27?$35.66May 27, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?$35.63May 27, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?$35.72May 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?$35.72May 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 27?$35.44May 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 27?$35.45May 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 27?$35.51May 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?$35.50May 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?$35.51May 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 27?$35.65May 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 27?$35.65May 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?$35.72May 27, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?$35.71May 27, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 27?$35.73May 27, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?$35.72May 27, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 50 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
50 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $35.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 11:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.