0x23b5c21ed157a7aada53c9757268c883fb3830e9
0x23b5c21ed157a7aada53c9757268c883fb3830e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$18.76
Total PnL
$-122.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
225 shares @ 8.9¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.60
$-6.40
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.17
$0.17
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on April 14?
658 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 26?
228 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 20%?
65 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 10%?
63 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?
63 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 1 - 7)
53 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15?
32 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- DOWN
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 14?
30 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$20.91May 9, 08:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 15?$10.00Apr 14, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 14?$5.00Apr 14, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 14?$5.00Apr 14, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 14?$5.00Apr 14, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Apr 13, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?$2.25Apr 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?$1.90Apr 13, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 13?$13.79Apr 13, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 13?$15.25Apr 13, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 13?$5.00Apr 12, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 13?$5.00Apr 12, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 26?$10.00Dec 26, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 1 - 7)$10.00Dec 1, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 1 - 7)$15.00Dec 1, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 20%?$3.00Dec 1, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 10%?$15.00Dec 1, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?$40.00Dec 1, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $10.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 08:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".