Talkative-Anchovy
0x23b824765e798febf65ca05bcd42d2d9dcfb0930
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$1.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 28?
505 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$501.77
$1.77
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 28?
505 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$501.01
$1.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 28?
239 shares @ 90.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$213.52
$-1.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
165 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$160.36
$0.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?$160.25Jul 27, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on July 28?$160.64Jul 27, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on July 28?$160.13Jul 27, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 28?$50.24Jul 27, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 27?$207.03Jul 27, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 28?$15.07Jul 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 28?$500.22Jul 27, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 28?$500.25Jul 27, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 28?$150.75Jul 27, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?$1.1KJul 27, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?$601.31Jul 27, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 27?$620.49Jul 27, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 27?$200.35Jul 27, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?$201.97Jul 27, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 27?$100.10Jul 26, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?$50.52Jul 26, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 27?$300.39Jul 26, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 27?$113.51Jul 26, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on July 27?$345.03Jul 26, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 27?$200.53Jul 26, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $216.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 16:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 15:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.