Kindly-Pumpkinseed
0x23b8f23b56e0499f0e6c8aea115cf4022a4463ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.3K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
24998 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 6?
14693 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-963.19
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
12500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 6PM ET
6489 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
6253 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7PM ET
5231 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-46.58
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 29?
5052 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 29?
5042 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-101.00
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in November?
5028 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-829.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$50.00Jan 19, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10PM ET$50.00Jan 19, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ET$50.00Jan 18, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$160.96Jan 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ET$250.00Jan 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$5.00Jan 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$50.00Jan 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$50.00Jan 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$50.00Jan 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$19.43Jan 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$17.09Jan 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$118.54Jan 18, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$50.00Jan 18, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$50.00Jan 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$50.00Jan 17, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 12PM ET$50.00Jan 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 12PM ET$95.54Jan 17, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$114.04Jan 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$50.00Jan 17, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$50.00Jan 17, 17:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $72.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 06:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".