Authentic-Condition
0x23cbde10575f718207e37ecc7d6cf1f0b13170f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-705.07
Realised
$236.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?
8660 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2724 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
1000 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-165.00
- YES
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
514 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-86.26
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
108 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 29?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$50.00Nov 4, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on October 31?$0.00Nov 3, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on October 31?$125.00Nov 3, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$6.00Oct 31, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$5.00Oct 31, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$16.85Oct 31, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$10.00Oct 31, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on October 31?$50.00Oct 31, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMInter vs. Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score$0.00Oct 30, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter win on 2025-10-29?$142.35Oct 30, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$10.00Oct 29, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$100.00Oct 29, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Oct 29, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYInter vs. Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score$20.00Oct 29, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win on 2025-10-29?$100.00Oct 29, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$28.26Sep 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$8.00Sep 22, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$50.00Sep 22, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$26.32Sep 19, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$20.00Sep 19, 07:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $90.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 16:36 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 12:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".