0x23d832960f230e08d6d46ce350adaae2422c334e
0x23d832960f230e08d6d46ce350adaae2422c334e
Wallet digest
Activity score
26/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
161
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-415.49
Realised
$-20.04
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 161- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 24?
1518 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-16.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or higher on March 25?
628 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-17.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on March 24?
504 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 24?
399 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?
78 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4AM ET
53 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on March 24?
45 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.32
- BETBOOM TEAM
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
31 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
27 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
20 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.51Apr 18, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.73Apr 18, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.89Apr 18, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.89Apr 18, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$2.05Apr 18, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$2.13Apr 18, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.13Apr 18, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.23Apr 18, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.28Apr 18, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$2.28Apr 18, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$2.28Apr 18, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$2.39Apr 18, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.40Apr 18, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.46Apr 18, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.47Apr 18, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$2.47Apr 18, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$2.48Apr 18, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.48Apr 18, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$2.49Apr 18, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2.51Apr 18, 04:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 22:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 17:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.