Knobby-Click
0x23dc81a8576f0f70b93869d7caf6536b71589954
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-475.20
Realised
$-207.37
Win rate
0%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
901 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
400 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
96 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-41.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
49 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-25.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
37 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
35 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 5?
34 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
31 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
28 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.05Jul 18, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.00Jul 18, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Jul 18, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.07Jul 18, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.07Jul 18, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$12.00Jul 18, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$2.30Jul 18, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.05Jul 18, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$0.00Jul 18, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$5.35Jul 18, 22:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $13.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 23:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.