Milky-Orange
0x23dc9efd354c8ed58f741acbfaeeb31ac551ad23
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
140 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
95 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-29.95
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
68 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?
45 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-37.40
- UP
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
28 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.25
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
26 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
24 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-14.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
24 shares @ 62.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-14.95
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
23 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-14.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
23 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-14.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 21?$5.11Jul 21, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 21?$5.11Jul 21, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 20?$5.12Jul 21, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$5.11Jul 21, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Club Alianza Lima 2 - 0 CS Huancayo?$15.34Jul 20, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 21?$4.58Jul 20, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on July 20?$4.62Jul 20, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 21?$4.48Jul 20, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 20?$4.33Jul 19, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Alianza Lima 2 - 0 CS Huancayo?$8.15Jul 19, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Alianza Lima 2 - 0 CS Huancayo?$5.43Jul 19, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$4.77Jul 19, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 18?$10.22Jul 19, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?$11.25Jul 18, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Argeș Pitești win on 2026-07-17?$12.29Jul 17, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)$10.22Jul 17, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Henan FC 2 - 1 Qingdao Hainiu FC?$10.22Jul 17, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Henan FC 3 - 1 Qingdao Hainiu FC?$20.43Jul 17, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMBeijing Guoan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 5.5$6.14Jul 17, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 1 - 2 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?$5.11Jul 17, 15:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $8.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 03:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 21:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.