Waterlogged-Infiltration-Brief
0x23e302f52f347c6a5fa7d4ee96ffa88361066651
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-79.06
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 12?
3539 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 9?
2657 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 10?
135 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 13?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 11?
84 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 20?
59 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
57 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
BNB Up or Down - July 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
38 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
37 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
34 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$10.27Aug 5, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$12.35Aug 5, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$10.13Aug 5, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$12.20Aug 5, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$10.13Aug 5, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.13Aug 5, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$12.35Aug 5, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$10.13Aug 5, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$11.90Aug 5, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$10.11Aug 5, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$10.12Aug 5, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$12.20Aug 5, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$10.13Aug 5, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$11.49Aug 5, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$10.09Aug 5, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$12.35Aug 5, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$10.13Aug 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$12.20Aug 5, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$10.13Aug 5, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$12.20Aug 5, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $9.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.