Fluffy-Boulevard
0x23ea5743b4a7c8264090220157c7bb6a8d255a98
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$37.94
Total PnL
$-201.65
Realised
$-69.32
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
73 shares @ 48.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$16.16
$-19.10
- YES
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
39 shares @ 42.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$9.89
$-6.40
- YES
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
21 shares @ 54.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.89
$-3.47
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah join Fenerbahce?
41 shares @ 7.8¢·now 6.6¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$2.71
$-0.52
- NO
Will Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Feb 14, 2027$1.29
$-0.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
20 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
20 shares @ 85.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-17.10
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
19 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
15 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
14 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- MERGEWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$65.31Jul 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$41.99Jul 30, 18:05 UTC
- MERGEWill Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?$21.00Jul 30, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?$1.68Jul 30, 15:23 UTC
- MERGEWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$4.00Jul 30, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$2.57Jul 30, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah join Fenerbahce?$3.23Jul 30, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$24.95Jul 30, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?$11.37Jul 30, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$1.58Jul 30, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$2.10Jul 30, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$8.40Jul 30, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$4.20Jul 30, 14:05 UTC
- MERGEWill Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?$30.00Jul 30, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?$2.51Jul 30, 14:02 UTC
- MERGEWill over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?$69.38Jul 30, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?$0.10Jul 30, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?$49.79Jul 30, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?$40.23Jul 30, 08:24 UTC
- MERGEWill Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?$40.38Jul 30, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $17.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 18:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.