Miniature-Behalf
0x23f4d5eabf527e16baabc1bad06d33161ea337f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$123.66
Total PnL
$-6.38
Realised
$-0.71
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
19 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$19.04
$0.04
- NO
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in June?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$15.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.02
$0.01
- NO
Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.02
$0.01
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.67
$2.67
- NEW YORK YANKEES
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers
6 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.77
$2.77
- MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
6 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.66
$2.66
- MIAMI MARLINS
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.26
$2.26
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.84
$1.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins$3.03Jun 23, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox$2.03Jun 23, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals$2.03Jun 23, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals$4.05Jun 23, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds$3.04Jun 23, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. New York Mets$2.03Jun 23, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays$4.04Jun 23, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins$3.04Jun 23, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$2.03Jun 23, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays$4.05Jun 23, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers$3.04Jun 23, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. New York Mets$2.03Jun 23, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12?$11.01Jun 23, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14?$11.06Jun 23, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13?$12.05Jun 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14?$11.00Jun 11, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13?$12.00Jun 11, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12?$11.00Jun 11, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$13.77Jun 11, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $160 in June?$20.44Jun 11, 07:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $11.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 05:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.