Outgoing-Fear
0x23f8f4f98c4f75e2a9157e28d33f2e1dfd3dc072
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$41.15
Total PnL
$-37.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
24 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$23.53
$3.53
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
10 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 68.3¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.03
$-5.97
- NO
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$3.33
$1.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
5568 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.57
- YES
South Korean Dem Party leader arrested by Friday?
1053 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 Week of April 6 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00Apr 7, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$2.00Apr 7, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 7, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$6.00Apr 7, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 Week of April 6 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20.00Apr 7, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?$0.00Apr 6, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2024?$0.00Apr 6, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMOpenSea blocks US users in 2024?$0.00Apr 6, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?$0.00Apr 6, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$0.00Apr 6, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?$10.54Apr 6, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2024?$10.75Apr 6, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMOpenSea blocks US users in 2024?$11.90Apr 6, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?$17.86Apr 6, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$19.23Apr 6, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Korean Dem Party leader arrested by Friday?$20.00Dec 3, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 18, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.00Nov 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$198.02Nov 10, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $12.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 1, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".