0x23fd5c577888200ea30c939cd73f0548be76582f
0x23fd5c577888200ea30c939cd73f0548be76582f
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
121
Open notional
$17.28
Total PnL
$-563.21
Realised
$-194.92
Win rate
35%
115 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 121- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
6 shares @ 57.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$5.83
$2.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
6 shares @ 57.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$5.83
$2.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
6 shares @ 52.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$5.62
$2.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
12 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
6 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
6 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
6 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
6 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$0.00Feb 20, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$2.97Feb 19, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$2.97Feb 19, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.97Feb 19, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$3.03Feb 19, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$2.91Feb 19, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.80Feb 19, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$3.03Feb 19, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$3.03Feb 19, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$5.50Feb 19, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$5.74Feb 19, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5.83Feb 19, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$5.85Feb 19, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$5.85Feb 19, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.97Feb 18, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.47Feb 18, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.50Feb 18, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.97Feb 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$2.92Feb 18, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$3.02Feb 18, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 115 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
115 closed markets, 35% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 12:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 115 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.