Cylindrical-Cassava
0x24001177edde7d260fc25633b4a2dfc41bd78209
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$148.10
Total PnL
$1.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?
30 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.36
$0.36
- NO
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?
30 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.33
$0.33
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
30 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.30
$0.30
- NO
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.04
$0.04
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
7 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?$7.00May 16, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$30.00May 16, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$30.01May 16, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$20.00May 16, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?$30.01May 16, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?$30.01May 16, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?$6.86May 16, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMPeople's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?$10.08May 16, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$20.04May 16, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?$30.06May 16, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.2% in March?$40.05May 16, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?$40.08May 16, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?$6.85Mar 23, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPeople's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?$10.00Mar 23, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$20.00Mar 23, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.2% in March?$40.00Mar 23, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?$30.00Mar 23, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?$40.00Mar 23, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$20.02Mar 23, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?$20.02Mar 23, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $30.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 11:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.