Modest-Alien
0x2408f03a4ced01cd1fd6cfcbe2940ec1ec0d4ccd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will a Democrat win Kentucky Presidential Election?
155 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
135 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
121 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win West Virginia Presidential Election?
104 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
75 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Ion Chicu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?
70 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?
68 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$22.20Feb 9, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Browns win the AFC Championship?$0.01Nov 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Browns win the AFC Championship?$0.13Nov 18, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?$0.06Nov 10, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?$0.04Nov 10, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win West Virginia Presidential Election?$0.10Nov 6, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Kentucky Presidential Election?$0.15Nov 5, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.14Nov 3, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$0.12Nov 1, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 29, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?$0.11Oct 29, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 225-249 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$0.15Oct 29, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guido Manini Ríos win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$0.11Oct 29, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ion Chicu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?$0.14Oct 29, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election?$0.12Oct 29, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Minnesota US Senate Election?$0.07Oct 29, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?$0.15Oct 29, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?$0.15Oct 29, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election?$0.12Oct 29, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?$0.20Oct 29, 13:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $27.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 27, 10:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 15:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.