Original-Post
0x24109c3eb52826ccca1e454a55d85023e8480bd9
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.17
Total PnL
$-8.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on February 8?
44 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$5.00Apr 19, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$3.03Feb 12, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.02Feb 12, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.00Feb 12, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$3.00Feb 12, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$0.00Feb 12, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$3.00Feb 12, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$2.14Feb 12, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Feb 10, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.22Feb 10, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.00Feb 10, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.00Feb 10, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$3.00Feb 9, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$2.00Feb 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on February 8?$1.42Feb 8, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$3.00Feb 7, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on February 7?$12.00Feb 7, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 7?$2.00Feb 7, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1AM ET$6.80Feb 7, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1AM ET$5.00Feb 7, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 05:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 17:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.