Elastic-Electrocardiogram
0x24151458fa59bced2107b3927f50cfc28e6521b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 1?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?
2475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
2315 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 26?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$122.24Jun 10, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$122.02Jun 10, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?$122.12Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?$122.00Jun 7, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$121.58Jun 2, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$120.08Jun 2, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?$5.30Jun 2, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by May 31?$122.12Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.30May 31, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.24May 31, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.17May 31, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$122.00May 30, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?$122.12May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?$122.01May 27, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$122.12May 24, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$122.01May 23, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?$122.12May 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?$122.01May 16, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.86May 16, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?$127.13May 14, 03:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $79.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.