Serene-Shadowbox
0x2415f4a5041c4a300084c9dba0f66b7bb7b2ae84
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022?
8 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2022$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?
6 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of $ETH be above $1700 on February 10?$0.00Nov 3, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.57Nov 3, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.70Nov 3, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?$1.58Aug 1, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.00Aug 1, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.00Aug 1, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $ETH moon after Shanghai?$2.00Apr 5, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of $ETH be above $1700 on February 10?$3.00Feb 7, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 15, 2022?$0.00Aug 30, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH be above $1,900 on August 19?$5.82Aug 30, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021?$0.00Aug 14, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?$0.00Aug 14, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH be above $2,000 on May 20?$0.00Aug 14, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill $MATIC reach $1 by July 31?$9.76Aug 2, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022?$0.50Jul 31, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp?$3.89Jul 31, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH be above $2,900 on May 7, 2022?$4.08Jul 31, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021?$1.03May 6, 20:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $2.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 3, 15:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.