Jolly-Passing
0x2416993b0bd8661eb48db4db5e321f4415cf5e55
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$87.59
Total PnL
$-469.62
Realised
$-8.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
88 shares @ 74.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$45.24
$-19.76
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
110 shares @ 33.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$42.35
$6.05
- PITTSBURGH PANTHERS
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack
65 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-16.20
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Hawks
55 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-28.70
- BRUINS
Sabres vs. Bruins
52 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-26.63
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 3?
47 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- SANTA CLARA BRONCOS
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats
47 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.66
- AVALANCHE
Avalanche vs. Lightning
43 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Pacers
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- COMMANDERS
Commanders vs. Dolphins
40 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2.41Jun 13, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$33.89Jun 13, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$26.48Jun 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$83.52Jun 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$148.74Jun 13, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$150.90Jun 13, 03:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$196.99Jun 11, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$202.70Jun 11, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$201.92Jun 11, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$207.77Jun 11, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$209.71Jun 11, 17:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$210.07Jun 10, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$208.52Jun 10, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$211.23Jun 10, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$208.52Jun 10, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$211.23Jun 10, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$199.72Jun 10, 16:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $105.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.